Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig: prediction & betting odds 22 August 2025

The Matchday 1 clash in the Bundesliga between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig will take place on August 22 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Bayern Munich vs. RB Leipzig: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Bayern Munich

Last season, the Munich side reclaimed the Bundesliga title for the 34th time in their history. Bayern accumulated 82 points, finishing 13 points ahead of second-placed Bayer Leverkusen. Additionally, they were just one goal shy of reaching 100 goals (99) and boasted the best defensive record in the league, conceding only 32 goals. Worth noting is their current unbeaten streak in the Bundesliga, which stands at nine matches (6 wins, 3 draws). During the off-season, Bayern participated in the FIFA Club World Cup, reaching the quarter-finals, and played three friendly matches, winning all of them. They also competed in the German Super Cup, defeating Stuttgart 2-1.


During the summer transfer window, the club signed defender Jonathan Tah and forward Luis Díaz. Meanwhile, midfielder João Palhinha, along with forwards Thomas Müller, Kingsley Coman, Leroy Sané, and Mathys Tel, departed the team.


  • The club has won 13 of their last 15 home matches in the Bundesliga.
  • The team has scored at least three times in 12 of their last 15 home league matches.
  • At least four goals have been scored in 9 of Bayern's last 12 home Bundesliga matches.

Predicted lineup for Bayern Munich (4-5-1)

Manuel Neuer – Josip Stanišić, Jonathan Tah, Dayot Upamecano, Konrad Laimer – Luis Díaz, Leon Goretzka, Serge Gnabry, Joshua Kimmich, Michael Olise – Harry Kane.


Defenders Alphonso Davies and Hiroki Ito, as well as midfielder Jamal Musiala, will miss out due to injuries.

RB Leipzig

The team had a disappointing campaign last season, finishing only seventh with 51 points. Part of the blame lies in their poor finish, as Leipzig failed to win any of their last five Bundesliga matches (3 draws, 2 losses). As a result, the club will not participate in European competitions for the first time since the 2016/17 season. The team also struggled offensively, scoring just 53 goals, ranking only 12th in this category. Over the summer, Leipzig played five friendly matches, securing three wins and suffering two defeats.


During the off-season, the club added midfielders Andrija Maksimović and Ezequiel Banzuzi, as well as forwards Jan Diomande, Romulo Cardoso, and Johan Bakayoko. A significant loss was the departure of forward Benjamin Šeško. Notably, the team will be under the guidance of new head coach Ole Werner.


  • The club has failed to win 9 of their last 10 away Bundesliga matches (5 draws, 4 losses).
  • The team has failed to score in 6 of their last 7 away league matches.
  • No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of Leipzig's last 7 away Bundesliga matches.

Predicted lineup for RB Leipzig (4-3-3)

Péter Gulácsi – David Raum, Castello Lukeba, Willi Orbán, Kosta Nedelkovic – Xavi Simons, Nicolas Seiwald, Xaver Schlager – Antonio Nusa, Loïs Openda, Johan Bakayoko.

Referee

Florian Badstübner (Germany)


Matches – 15 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 47;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;

Red cards shown – 3;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties – 20%.

Match Prediction: Bayern Munich vs. RB Leipzig

The Munich side is very strong at home and consistently achieves success: in 13 of their last 15 home Bundesliga matches, the team has outperformed their opponents. However, Bayern does not often secure large-margin victories: in their last nine home league matches, the club has only won by three or more goals on three occasions. During this period, they have narrowly defeated teams like St. Pauli and Holstein Kiel by just one goal.


Leipzig often faces challenges on the road, but the club rarely suffers heavy defeats. In their last nine away Bundesliga matches, the team has only lost by more than one goal once, and they have picked up points in six matches during this period. Furthermore, in their last eight meetings at Munich's ground in the league, Leipzig has been defeated by a large margin only once.


My prediction: Leipzig with a handicap (+2.5)

Bayern Munich — RB Leipzig betting tips 22 August 2025

The Bundesliga curtain-raiser brings together two heavyweights, but despite both sides starting the season with goals, their current issues suggest a more restrained affair in Munich. Bayern are missing a string of key players, while Leipzig must adapt their style under Ole Werner’s coaching team.

In the German Super Cup away to Stuttgart (2:1), Bayern played on the front foot and created more chances (2.38-1.89 in xG). Vincent Kompany immediately introduced new signings Luis Díaz and Jonathan Tah — with the Colombian scoring the winner but otherwise struggling to make an impact. The injury list is severe: Jamal Musiala, Aleksandar Pavlović and Alphonso Davies are all sidelined, leaving Bayern short of ball progression. For now, much of the creative burden falls on Michael Olise, who is not yet at peak fitness.

Leipzig kicked off their campaign in the DFB-Pokal with a 4:2 win away at fourth-tier Sandhausen. But the scoreline hides early vulnerabilities: the visitors were 0:2 down after 20 minutes before rallying late on. With Benjamin Šeško sold to Manchester United, Loïs Openda is finding life harder up front, often tightly marked even by modest opponents. Xavi Simons, meanwhile, looks set to leave for Chelsea, further weakening their attacking options.

Bookmakers may be swayed by the high-scoring clashes between these two last season (5:1 and 3:3), but circumstances are different now. Both teams are far from their best going forward, and Bayern’s absentees in particular could slow the tempo.

Betting prediction
Total Under 4.5
Cf
Odds
29/50
Bet now

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Odds

Bundesliga: previous matches in the tournament

Bayern Munich
The team hasn't played a game yet this season
RB Leipzig
The team hasn't played a game yet this season

H2H: Bayern Munich — RB Leipzig

Bundesliga 2024-2025
03.05.25
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
20.12.24
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2023-2024
24.02.24
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
30.09.23
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
German Super Cup 2023-2024
12.08.23
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2022-2023
20.05.23
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
20.01.23
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
German Super Cup 2022
30.07.22
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga 2021-2022
05.02.22
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
11.09.21
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga 2020-2021
03.04.21
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
05.12.20
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2019-2020
09.02.20
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
14.09.19
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
DFB-Pokal 2018-2019
25.05.19
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
Bundesliga 2018-2019
11.05.19
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
19.12.18
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2017-2018
18.03.18
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
28.10.17
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
DFB-Pokal 2017-2018
25.10.17
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
1
:
1
0
:
0
OT
4
:
5
P
Bundesliga 2016-2017
13.05.17
RB Leipzig
Bayern Munich
21.12.16
Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Union Berlin
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3
Bayern Munich
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4
Bayer 04
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5
Werder Bremen
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6
Hamburger
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7
Wolfsburg
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8
Borussia Dortmund
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10
Hoffenheim
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11
Köln
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12
Mainz 05
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13
Freiburg
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14
St. Pauli
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15
Augsburg
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16
Stuttgart
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17
Heidenheim
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18
RB Leipzig
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Union Berlin
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3
Bayern Munich
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4
Bayer 04
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5
Werder Bremen
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6
Hamburger
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7
Wolfsburg
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8
Borussia Dortmund
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10
Hoffenheim
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11
Köln
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12
Mainz 05
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13
Freiburg
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14
St. Pauli
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15
Augsburg
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16
Stuttgart
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17
Heidenheim
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18
RB Leipzig
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Union Berlin
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2
Eintracht Frankfurt
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3
Bayern Munich
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4
Bayer 04
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5
Werder Bremen
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6
Hamburger
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7
Wolfsburg
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8
Borussia Dortmund
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10
Hoffenheim
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11
Köln
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12
Mainz 05
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13
Freiburg
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14
St. Pauli
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15
Augsburg
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16
Stuttgart
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17
Heidenheim
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18
RB Leipzig
0 0 0 0 0:0 0

Team lineups

The line-ups will be known a few hours before kick-off
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